Cardano’s native token ADA ignored a critical value crash warning to rally to a brand new all-time excessive.

The ADA/USD change fee reached $2.56 for the primary time on Aug. 20, following a 154.54% value increase that began on July 20. In doing so, the pair additionally ignored veteran dealer Peter Brandt’s 60-90% price crash warning, which was primarily based on a traditional bearish sample known as the Head and Shoulders.

However a flurry of bullish fundamentals assisted Cardano to disregard bearish technical setups.

Capital rotation

At first, ADA/USD’s upside rally within the early days appeared largely within the wake of a similar boom across the cryptocurrency market, led by the euphoria surrounding its rival Ether’s (ETH) main software program improve and recent endorsements for Bitcoin from Tesla’s Elon Musk and Twitter’s Jack Dorsey.

ADA costs additionally tailed Bitcoin (BTC), the benchmark cryptocurrency that just lately rallied above $48,000 for the primary time. However the Cardano token began outperforming Bitcoin after Aug 17 because the latter turned uneven across the Federal Reserve’s tapering resolution, as Cointelegraph covered here.

Cardano value tendencies (black and white) versus Bitcoin value tendencies (pink and blue). Supply: 

Intimately, the ADA/USD change fee surged by as much as 36.81% from its Aug. 18 low of $1.87 versus BTC/USD’s 7.91% rally in the identical interval.

Different high different cryptocurrencies, or altcoins, additionally posted better profits than Bitcoin, hinting that merchants merely rotated capital out of the flagship crypto’s market on overvaluation dangers.

Altcoins 24-hour adjusted efficiency in opposition to the U.S. greenback and Bitcoin. Supply: Messari 

Good contracts FOMO

Merchants’ bids for ADA additionally surged on account of hype surrounding Cardano’s “Alonzo” improve by mid-September. The replace expects to deploy good contracts performance onto the Cardano blockchain, a step that the undertaking’s supporters say will make it a direct rival to Ethereum.

Good contracts would allow Cardano to combine extra decentralized functions in its ecosystem, significantly decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms that allow automated borrowing, lending, and buying and selling companies.

Technical outlook

Brandt’s bearish setup seems much less more likely to be realized by merchants in opposition to Cardano’s bullish fundamentals

The ADA/USD each day chart reveals the pair in value discovery. In the meantime, a Fibonacci retracement graph sketched from the swing excessive of $2.51 to the swing low of $1.05 spots ADA testing $2.51 as its interim resistance degree.

Associated: Bullish cup and handle pattern sets Cardano (ADA) price up for a new ATH

An in depth above the mentioned value ceiling places ADA/USD en path to the following resistance line at 1.618 Fib line close to $three.41.

ADA/USD each day chart technical setup. Supply:

Conversely, ADA’s each day relative power indicator (RSI), now above 70, alerts about its interim overvaluation dangers. In consequence, ADA/USD can bear a sure diploma of correction to neutralized its overbought standing, with the following assist goal sitting close to zero.786 Fib line (at $2.20).